Der unten im "Fortune"-Artikel zu Intel zitierte Analysten-Clown Apjit Walia lag bei AMD völlig falsch. Er "sah" die AMD-Aktie im März 2006 bei 50 Dollar - de facto fiel sie vom Hoch bei 45 Dollar auf jetzt 35 zurück. Immerhin liegt Walias Kursziel für Intel bei 21 Dollar, gut 1,30 USD über dem aktuellen Kurs. Er gibt Intel das Rating "Sector-Perform", was allerdings im Widerspruch steht zu seinem Hypen der AMD-Aktie. Es gibt ja nur zwei große CPU-Hersteller. Wie kann da der eine "Sektor-Perform" sein und der andere nicht???
Market Scan FORTUNE Intel's Downside Risk Remains High Peter Kang, 03.23.06, 3:57 PM ET
RBC Capital Markets cut earnings forecasts for Intel and said slowing unit growth for the semiconductor giant could lead to earnings downside this quarter.
Citing recent checks of sales channels, RBC's Apjit Walia lowered first-quarter earnings-per-share estimates to 21 cents from 23 cents on sales of $8.87 billion, down from the previous estimate of $8.98 billion.
[Rechtfertigt 10 % Gewinnrückgang - so er überhaupt kommt - 40 % Kursrückgang bei der Aktie seit Herbst?? - A.L.]
In a report sent to investors, Walia said he is bearish on Intel's (nasdaq: INTC) fiscal second quarter as well. "Our checks are now showing the June quarter could be much worse than seasonality," he said. "Advanced Micro Devices (nyse: AMD - news - people ) seems to be making inroads in notebooks now, Intel's historical bastion of strength."
[Das ist kompletter Unsinn: Intels "Yonah" (65nm), der sogar noch schneller ist als AMDs Top-Desktop-Prozessor FX-60 (Benchmark oben), hat AMD nichts Vergleichbares entgegenzusetzen. Die "Turion", auch der X2, sind Stromfresser in 90nm, die heiß werden und am Akku saugen - A.L.]
The analyst said Intel's gross margins could remain pressured "given new ground realities of the competitive landscape" as rival AMD continues to gain market share.
[3 % im Desktopbereich, aber kaum was bei den Notebooks. Das Notebook-Segment wächst 2006 um 20,3 %, Desktops nur um 4,7 % - A.L.]
"Since we turned negative on Intel, we keep getting the same pushback that this is the worst it can get," he noted. "At this point, it's very difficult to predict how low margins could go."
Walia noted he was not yet lowering Intel's earnings estimates based on Microsoft's (nasdaq: MSFT - news - people )recently announced delay of the Vista operating system. "If Vista's impact is included, our model could see noticeably lower numbers."
The analyst maintained a "sector perform" rating on Intel with a price target of $21.
"We continue to believe that in a declining gross margin scenario, it's simply too early to get back in the stock and further downside risks remain high," said Walia.
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