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Hallo, hab das mal auf einem anderen Forum gefunden. Kann e mal jemand nachpruefen bitte: Line 1 - 1500 cells per hour x 24 hours = 36,000 per day x 6 days = 216,000 per week x 50 weeks = 10,800,000 per year ( 6 day work week & 2 week for x-mas shut down) x 6 years = 64,800,000 cells per year
that times 2 lines = 129,600,000 cells * 1.5 watts per cell = 194,400,000 watts or 194.4 MW
194.4 mw - 203.5mw = -9.1 mw previous supply Contracts (203.5mw Recent supply contract)
previous supply Contracts $14,000,000 / $2.00 per cell wafer cost = 7,000,000 cells
@ 1.5 Watts per cell = 10,500,00
10.5 MW close enough
therefore .. if numbers are close lets suppose line 2 will be the same as line 1
then
@ $2.00 per cell wafer cost + $2.00 Profit and other costs = $4.00 sale price. Please correct if this out.
2nd Quarter Line 1 only
April = 0
May = 36000/day x 29 days = 1,044,000cells x 1.5 watts per cell = 1,566,000 or 1.566 mw
June = 36,000/day x 26 days = 936,000 cells x 1.5 watts per cell = 1,404,000 or 1.404 mw
Total for period = 2,970,000 cells or 2.970 mw
2,970,000 * $4.00 = $11,880,000 in sales for 2nd Quarter
Average per month (1,485,000 cells per month) $5,940,000 x May to Dec (7 months 2008) = $41,580,000 for the year
or (12 months) $71,280,000 LIne 1 + Line 2 = $142,560,000 per year
Profit is only say .50 cents per cell or 12.5% then income per year would only be $1,782,000 / million shares or .0147 cents per share less other operating costs etc..
2 nd Quarter maximum sales of Approx. $11,880,000. and cells of 2,970,000
Solon AG 212 mw / 5 years = 42.4 mw per year /12 months = 3.53mw / 1.5w per cell
= 2,353,333 cells needed per month.
Aleo Solar 90 mw /4 years = 22.5 mw per year /12 months = 1.875 mw per month /1.5w per cell
= 1,250,000 cells needed per month
Total needed per month = 3,603,333 cells per month
So Line 1 + line 2 output 2,970,000 short 633,333 cells made up for working on Sundays (7 day week)
Line 1 and Line 2 must be sold out. Need Line three ASAP to grow. Need Line 2 Up and running ASAP. Can not get any further short term sales until Line 2 & 3 Up and running.
Costs need to come down. Silicon pilot plant supplying ? Wafers $1.00 or less.?
Is this the reason for the low SP?. The Sales numbers look good but no profits? for at least another year. Can someone check my calculations? Sorry it's a scattered.
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