67% ist ne gute Quote für steigende Kurse zwischen den Feiertagen.
Xmas week: Good for stocks
During down years like 2002, the S&P 500 is likely to rise, if history repeats itself.
December 23, 2002: 4:16 PM EST
NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - The U.S. stock market, which hasn't had a winning year since 1999, may narrow its 2002 losses during the final trading days of the year if historical market patterns persist.
An analysis by Briefing.com showed that over the last 21 years, the Standard & Poor's 500 index has posted a 0.5 percent return, on average, between Dec. 24 and Dec. 31.
During those years, the market has gone higher 67 percent of the time during the Christmas to New Year's week, according to Briefing, and last fell during the period in 1996.
The data hold some notable patterns. In years where the market has been down year-to-date, for example, the market has never been down between Christmas and New Year's.
"It is a small piece of encouraging news for the week ahead," said Robert Green, the Briefing.com analyst who wrote the report.
And every down Christmas week in the past 21 years (there have been seven of them) has occurred during a year when the market rose.
The U.S stock market closes at 1 p.m., ET, Tuesday ahead of the full Christmas Day close. That's followed by four trading sessions before the Jan 1 holiday.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index is down 22 percent year-to-date through Monday, meaning the stock market will probably close lower for a third straight year for the first time since 1941.
Komm grad von der Arbeit nach Hause, pack noch zwei Geschenke ein, dann ab ins Bett.
So long, E.
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