July 01, 2008 Canada Day Edition : Spot price rises! Publisher: U3O8.biz Author: Luke Brocki
-------------------------------------------------- The TSX was dead to the world on Tuesday as Canada celebrated 141 years as a country, but surprisingly, spot uranium prices stirred from their slumber for the first time in 2008. Price publisher Tradetech raised its spot estimate US$1 to US$58, after reporting that market momentum appears to be shifting. Rival price publisher Ux Consulting followed suit a few days later, raising its price US$2 to US$59 a pound U3O8.
Tradetech reported six transactions in the spot uranium market last week, with everyone from traders and investors to producers and utilities looking to buy the metal. When this coupled with a decline of aggressive sellers looking to unload the metal, a recipe for higher prices was born.
Tradetech also reported that while demand remains discretionary, new buyers have emerged in the market and their arrival has caused savvy sellers to increase prices of the metal. Let's wait for supply and demand dynamics to do their thing here; it's just a matter of time before the gap between willing buyers and willing sellers stops looking unbridgeable.
Canadian uranium giant Cameco Corp is in the papers again, and this time, it's good news. In fact, the miner saw its biggest stock jump of 2008 to date on Tuesday, gaining $3.10, or 7.6 per cent, to close Monday at C$43.80 amid a flurry of positive sentiment. This included, of course, uranium's aforementioned first spot price jump of the year, which interrupted a seven-month drop during which the metal lost more than a third of its value.
Denison Mines Corp also continued its phenomenal run on the TSX on Monday, climbing 39 cents, or 5.6 per cent, to C$8.91 on the company's sixth straight day of higher closes; Denison is up nearly two dollars since a June 20 low of C$6.97.
But Cameco had more to report, including news that it's gearing up to pump water out of its flooded Cigar Lake mine this week. The StarPhoenix newspaper reported the process is expected to take several months, but Cameco has already received approval from the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission and several Saskatchewan ministries to de-water the flooded uranium mine.
Cameco will again appear before the safety commission in September, when it will apply for a second mine shaft and other improvements at the Cigar Lake project, which has yet to produce any uranium despite being widely regarded as one of the richest uranium mines in the world; it has been flooded since October 2006, after construction activities triggered a rock fall. Cameco plans to start production at the mine in 2011.
And, striking while the iron is hot, Cameco CEO Jerry Grandey is calling on Ottawa to Ottawa to show leadership regarding nuclear power, if it's to help Canada reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Grandey told the Globe and Mail newspaper the federal government must do more to encourage new nuclear construction in the country, or risk falling behind other nations more receptive to nuclear activities, in particular the United States, which has recently been praised by pundits for its friendly uranium policies, loan guarantees, and simple permitting processes.
However, the grass is always greener in the neighbour's yard, and the United States has nuclear troubles of its own. According to a recent report, current US policies are still not sufficient to give nuclear power a leading role in climate protection.
According to data from the US Energy Information Administration's Annual Energy Outlook 2008, current policies promote a 15-per-cent rise in nuclear power capacity by 2030, but overall American energy use is expected to grow by 19 per cent.
It's clear that if nuclear power is to wean us off our oil addiction, its projected growth rates cannot remain flat. Analysts now hope the recent jump in spot uranium prices will reignite some much-needed nuclear discussions among governments and regulators.
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