Allianz analyse: Sector vulnerability to rising financing costs
Europe has a higher proportion of total debt maturing in one year (20% vs 14% for the US). ...Real estate is the sector most exposed to debt due within one year... Things could get worse as the profit squeeze should become more visible in autumn when we expect the full transmission of interest rates. Overall, we calculate that the equivalent of the full rise in financing costs since 2022 stands above -7pps of the gross value added in Spain, more than -6pps in Italy and France, -4.5pps in Germany and close to -4pps in the US (ceteris paribus).
https://www.allianz.com/en/economic_research/...or-vulnerability.html
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