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http://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/Novelos-Therapeutics-Reaches-725th-Event-in-Pivotal-Phase-3-Lung-Cancer-Trial-723739
07.01.2010 13:30
Novelos Therapeutics Reaches 725th Event in Pivotal Phase 3 Lung Cancer Trial
Novelos Therapeutics, Inc. (OTCBB: NVLT), a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of therapeutics to treat cancer and hepatitis, today announced that the 725th event (patient death) has been reached in its pivotal Phase 3 trial in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) studying its lead product, NOV-002, in combination with first-line chemotherapy. The 725th event triggers the steps towards the pre-specified analysis according to the trial’s Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP). Top-line trial results are expected to be available later in the first quarter.
This randomized, controlled, open-label Phase 3 trial, being conducted under a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA) and Fast Track designation, has enrolled 903 patients with Stage IIIb/IV NSCLC, which includes all histological subtypes. The trial, conducted across approximately 100 clinical sites in 12 countries, is evaluating NOV-002 in combination with first-line paclitaxel and carboplatin chemotherapy versus paclitaxel and carboplatin alone. The primary efficacy endpoint of the trial is improvement in overall survival. Enrollment commenced in November 2006 and the target enrollment was achieved in March 2008. According to the SAP, a total of 725 events are required to detect a 25% improvement in overall survival (hazard ratio of 0.8) with 85% power and a two-sided significance level of 0.05. No interim analysis was performed.
"We are on track for our pivotal Phase 3 trial to conclude this quarter,” said Harry Palmin, President and CEO of Novelos. "Should this registrational trial be positive, we will proceed with filing a New Drug Application (NDA) in 3Q 2010. Thereafter, based on our Fast Track designation, we would project FDA approval for first-line treatment of advanced NSCLC in combination with chemotherapy in 1Q 2011.”
About NSCLC
NSCLC accounts for about 87% of lung cancer, which is the leading cause of cancer death in the U.S. According to the American Cancer Society, approximately 215,000 people were expected to be diagnosed with lung cancer in 2008 in the U.S., with approximately 162,000 deaths. Approximately 1,500,000 new cases of lung cancer were expected worldwide in 2007 and approximately 1,350,000 deaths were projected from lung cancer in 2007. Only about 16% of NSCLC patients are diagnosed early enough to be eligible for surgery. Platinum-based chemotherapy regimens are standard first-line treatment for advanced NSCLC patients. Paclitaxel and carboplatin is the most common first-line treatment in the U.S., while gemcitabine / pemetrexed and cisplatin are more common in Europe. During treatment, patients are subject to serious chemotherapy-induced adverse effects. According to results of 12 Phase 3 clinical trials published from 2001-2008, the one-year survival rate for patients receiving paclitaxel and carboplatin first-line therapy was on average only about 40%, the weighted average for median survival was 9.7 months and the objective tumor response (defined as greater than 30% tumor shrinkage) rate was about 27%. Overall, fewer than 5% of advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients survive five years.
About NOV-002 for NSCLC
NOV-002 is a small molecule compound based on a proprietary formulation of oxidized glutathione that acts together with chemotherapy as a chemopotentiator and a chemoprotectant by regulating redox-sensitive cell signaling pathways. Three separate Phase 2 trials demonstrated clinical activity and safety of NOV-002 in combination with first-line chemotherapy in NSCLC. In a controlled, randomized U.S. Phase 1/2 clinical trial, advanced NSCLC patients treated with NOV-002 in combination with first-line paclitaxel and carboplatin demonstrated improved objective tumor response (p<0.05) and higher tolerance of chemotherapy (p<0.01) compared to the active control group. In a controlled, randomized Russian Phase 2 trial, when used in combination with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy, NOV-002 increased the one-year survival of advanced NSCLC patients from 17% to 63% (p<0.01); median survival (i.e. 50% of patients dead) was not reached in the NOV-002 arm at 14 months compared to a median survival of 7 months in the active control. In a single arm Russian Phase 2 trial, advanced NSCLC patients treated with NOV-002 in combination with first-line cisplatin-based chemotherapy exhibited greater than 50% one-year survival. NOV-002 has an extensive safety database, and has also demonstrated improved recovery from chemotherapy toxicity in cancer patients. Importantly, NOV-002 does not appear to be chemotherapy specific or tumor specific.
About Novelos Therapeutics, Inc.
Novelos Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing oxidized glutathione-based compounds for the treatment of cancer and hepatitis. NOV-002, the lead compound currently in Phase 3 development for lung cancer under an SPA and Fast Track, acts together with chemotherapy as a chemopotentiator and a chemoprotectant. NOV-002 is also in Phase 2 development for early-stage breast cancer and chemotherapy-resistant ovarian cancer. Novelos has a partnership with Mundipharma, an independent associated company of Purdue Pharma, to develop and commercialize NOV-002 in Europe and Asia (excluding China). Novelos’ second compound, NOV-205, acts as a hepatoprotective agent with immunomodulating and anti-inflammatory properties. NOV-205 is in Phase 1b development for chronic hepatitis C non-responders. Both compounds have been partnered with Lee’s Pharm in China. For additional information about Novelos please visit www.novelos.com.
Novelos Therapeutics, Inc.
One Gateway Center, Suite 504
Newton, MA 02458
Interpreting the news from today: Novelos Therapeutics Reaches 725th Event in Pivotal Phase 3 Lung Cancer Trial, and why the news is good.
You can read the news release at:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/...ches-bw-4008195494.html?x=0&.v=1
Here's why the news shows a high probability of success for the company.
First, please note that the press release states: "According to results of 12 Phase 3 clinical trials published from 2001-2008, the one-year survival rate for patients receiving paclitaxel and carboplatin first-line therapy [the control group for this study] was on average only about 40%, the weighted average for median survival was 9.7 months and the objective tumor response (defined as greater than 30% tumor shrinkage) rate was about 27%. Overall, fewer than 5% of advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients survive five years."
Now also note that "Enrollment commenced in November 2006 and the target enrollment was achieved in March 2008." That means that it took at least 20 to 21 months after the last person was enrolled in the study (and up to 38 months from the time the first person was enrolled in the study) for there to be 725 deaths (out of 903 patients), when based on 12 large studies the median survival for this population is only 9.7 months.
That suggests that the odds of success for the company are extremely good. (Please note, however, that positive results aren't certain, as there is always the possibility that control groups can randomly survive longer that expected, though the probability of that happening this long in this case are very low. Companies have been devastated in the past with such unexpected results for the control group).
The company stated that "According to the SAP, a total of 725 events are required to detect a 25% improvement in overall survival (hazard ratio of 0.8) with 85% power and a two-sided significance level of 0.05." Based on my mathematical calculations, reviewing the company's power analysis, and the noted length of time to get to the milestone noted in the news release, I estimate over a 90 percent chance of success for the company. (But, again, nothing in certain, so do your own due diligence).
If the results are positive, this represents a very significant advance for treatment of the number 1 cancer in the U.S., so the market is huge. In addition, this treatment has also shown excellent results in studies for breast and ovarian cancers, which are also extremely large markets.
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/392166-dr-mike/42619-microcap-special-situation-update-on-novelos-why-today-s-news-is-good
aber sehr interessant :-)
http://www.bionity.com/news/d/96969/
Novelos Therapeutics und Mundipharma unterzeichnen Kooperationsabkommen in Europa und Japan
hab die stückzahl halbiert, also einsatz raus geholt.
tut irgendwie weh, aber wollte auf nummer sicher gehen.
@kleiner prinz: saugst du diese infos über google raus?
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Wie seht ihr das alle im Moment? Es komme jeden Tag Nachrichten, in jedem Forum jubelt und weint man zugleich und wirklich sachlich ist kaum noch jemand...
Vor ein, zwei Wochen hätten wir alle über diesen Kurs gejubelt, aber nach dieser Woche ist jeder extrem skeptisch. Wie soll man die Nachricht denn einordnen, dass der 725 Patient gestorben ist?
Hoffen wir auf einen grünen Freitag!
was heißt sachlich? du kannst jetzt nicht mehr und nicht weniger sachlich sein als vorher, der 725 verstorbene ist (so schlimm einzelschicksale sind, gerade bei krebs) im forschungsbereich eine kennzahl und diese wurden eben erreicht
ich find den kurs sehr sehr spannend, bin gestern bei 1,77€ ganz raus und kurz darauf mit 2,30USD wieder rein, hat mich also doch einfach gejuckt, jetzt bin ich etwas im minus, aber mal schauen, was der freitag bringt
es kann eben niemand sagen wo die reise hingeht, nur vermutungen.
Mein bauchgefühl sagt das bis ende märz ein rauf und runter von € 1,00 - 2,50 möglich ist. Das sich alle positioniern und bis dahin auch mal gewinne einstreifen. Wie ich auch heute gemacht habe. sollte der kurs auf €1,20 steuern werde ich wieder nachkaufen.
(ich kann total falsch liegen)
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Aber wenn Novelos ein guter Medikament ist..
kann es Viele Leben retten..
Und darauf kommt es an finde ich...
Wenn diese Trials alle Erfolg haben würden und damit auch was gutes getan wird, dann brauchen wir mehr davon...
Clinical Trials
NOV-002
clinical trial description and contact information:
Phase 3 – Lung Cancer - Fully Enrolled
A Randomized, Open-Label, Phase 3 Trial of NOV-002 in Combination with Paclitaxel and Carboplatin vs. Paclitaxel and Carboplatin Alone for the Treatment of Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer
Phase 2 - Ovarian Cancer - Completed
Phase 2 Trial of NOV-002 with Carboplatin in Women with Recurrent and Platinum Resistant Tumors of Mullerian Origin
Phase 2 - Breast Cancer - Ongoing
Phase 2 Trial of Neoadjuvant Treatment with NOV-002 in Combination with Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Followed by Docetaxel in Patients with Stages IIB-IIIC Breast Cancer
NOV-205
clinical trial description and contact information:
Phase 1b – Chronic Hepatitis C - Completed
A Randomized, Placebo Controlled, Phase 1b Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of NOV-205 in Chronic Viral Hepatitis C Subjects (Genotype 1) Who Have Failed Treatment with Pegylated Interferon plus Ribavirin
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sind auch unter anderen auch der Grund warum die Aktie solche kapriolen macht..
Sie schützen vor Verluste aber sollte es Richtung Norden gehen so schnell wie hier,
hat man damit ein Problem es könnte sehr teuer werden ein neuer einstiegt...
Ist nur eine Frage der Zeit wann der nässte Schub kommt..
Aber die Nachrichten Lage was das Finanzielle anbetrifft und die schanzen für Novelos schaut bist jetzt sehr gut aus..
Von 70% auf 90% haben sich die Prognosen erhöht das es zugelassen wird..
Einfach mal die Letzten Nachrichten genauer unter der Lupe nehmen…
nicht nur auf den Kurs schauen sondern auch auf die Ereignisse ;-)))
Interpreting the news from today....
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/392166-dr-mike/...ay-s-news-is-good
That suggests that the odds of success for the company are extremely good. (Please note, however, that positive results aren't certain, as there is always the possibility that control groups can randomly survive longer that expected, though the probability of that happening this long in this case are very low. Companies have been devastated in the past with such unexpected results for the control group).
The company stated that "According to the SAP, a total of 725 events are required to detect a 25% improvement in overall survival (hazard ratio of 0.8) with 85% power and a two-sided significance level of 0.05." Based on my mathematical calculations, reviewing the company's power analysis, and the noted length of time to get to the milestone noted in the news release, I estimate over a 90 percent chance of success for the company. (But, again, nothing in certain, so do your own due diligence).
If the results are positive, this represents a very significant advance for treatment of the number 1 cancer in the U.S., so the market is huge. In addition, this treatment has also shown excellent results in studies for breast and ovarian cancers, which are also extremely large markets.
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/392166-dr-mike/...ay-s-news-is-good
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Boardmail an "1.FCN" |
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