Volatile Session
Dow rallies at Open, but falls sharply to the Close.
From prior commentary, "...We could see the index hold at the highs for some time, as a trading range develops, especially if 10,300 continues to hold..." The Dow broke through 10,340 early in the session, which resulted in strength throughout most of the day, as seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts. However, the Dow held firmly at resistance at 10,430 before falling to the Close.
The index held on to a 46 point gain, but may now be forming a large range at the highs from 10,300 to 10,430, seen in the 60 Minute Chart.
Look for the index to trade within the boundaries of this range before another major medium term move is seen. A break either way should provide solid direction. Watch 10,300 down, and 10,430 up tomorrow.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a clear trend line beneath the lows of the late-day upmove, seen in the 1 Minute Chart. A downside break through the line at 10,370 will likely make for weakness tomorrow morning.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we covered Shorts this morning at the Open at 10,385, giving us a 38 point loss. We later entered Longs at 10,404, but stopped out at the entry due to the Breakeven Rule. We are now out of the market and will widen our entry points to 10,435 up, and 10,300 down; using 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The S&P and NASDAQ each gapped higher today, making for strength on the session. However, key ranges have now formed, which we will watch closely tomorrow. *
Summary
The Dow rallied at the Open, but held at resistance, forming a large trading range at the highs from 10,300 to 10,430. Look for further range movement within these boundaries until a break occurs.
Thanks for listening, and Good luck in your trading..
Ed Downs
edowns@nirvsys.com
with assistance from..
Frank Ochoa, Market Analyst
fochoa@nirvsys.com
** Note: We are now posting Index entries and exits in Real Time, through our new Intraday Index Alerts service. To learn more about the service, visit SignalWatch.com and select Intraday Alerts from the main navigation bar. - SW Team
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